Nigel Farage will go head-to-head with Jeremy Corbyn in 41 seats across England, research shared with GB News has revealed.
Nowcast EU founder Josh Housden aggregated Find Out Now’s recent survey which included the inclusion of a Corbyn-led party.
The research found that Corbyn would sweep up 47 seats, while Reform would secure a mega-majority after hoovering up 413 seats.
Labour’s collapse in support – down to just 15 per cent – would leave Sir Keir Starmer clinging onto just 24 seats, behind the Liberal Democrats on 55 and the Conservative Party on 38.
Corbyn, who is now co-leading Your Party alongside ex-Labour MP Zarah Sultana, would also setback the revival of the Green Party, reducing its haul to just three seats.
Despite Your Party’s main challenger coming in the form of Labour in a number of traditionally liberal-leaning seats such as Cambridge and indeed Sir Keir Starmer’s own seat of Holborn & St Pancras, the research found that nine seats poised to fall into Corbyn’s hand see Reform UK finish second.
Coventry South, Dewsbury, Luton South, Preston and Birmingham Yardley would all end up as knife-edge contests if a General Election was held today.
Meanwhile, Blackburn and Bradford West see Your Party leads over Reform by around 10 to 15 per cent.
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Nigel Farage and Jeremy Corbyn
Much more significant leads have been opened up over Reform in Birmingham Perry Barr and Leicester South.
However, there are also a dozen seats expected to be won by Reform which would see a strong challenge from a Corbyn candidate – Brentford & Isleworth, Brighton Kemptown, Norwich South, Manchester Central, Rochdale, Birmingham Edgbaston, Slough, Gorton & Denton, Huddersfield, Birkenhead and Exeter all have leads of less than five per cent.
Leeds South, Peterborough, Barking, Bradford East and Birmingham Selly Oak all have Reform leads of between six and nine per cent.
Meanwhile, double-digit leads have been opened up in Oldham West, Salford, Canterbury, Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough, Lancaster & Wyre, Hastings & Rye, Birmingham Hodge Hill & Solihull North, Walsall & Bloxwich, Halifax, Birmingham Erdington, Bradford South, Bolton South & Walkden, Derby South, South Shields and Ashton-under-Lyne.
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Change in support when Jeremy Corbyn is included in the race
Despite most of Reform’s targets seeing showdowns with the Tories, Labour and in some places the Liberal Democrats, Corbyn is determined to take on Farage at the 2029 General Election.
The ex-Leader of the Opposition said: “The Labour Government is here to appease Reform. We are here to defeat Reform.”
However, Find Out Now’s polling also revealed that Reform’s support was unchanged with the inclusion of a Corbyn-led party.
Meanwhile, the Tories would receive a one-point boost, Labour would take a six-point hit, Liberal Democrat support slumps by five per cent and the Green shares drops by six per cent.
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Change in seat totals when Jeremy Corbyn is included
Such a scenario, with Labour’s support significantly bolstered, reduces Reform’s seat total to 389.
Labour would cling onto 95 seats, the Tories would drop to just 15, Liberal Democrats dip to 66 and the Greens jump to eight.
An additional four independent MPs would also enter the House of Commons, taking their haul to nine, while a revival for the Scottish National Party takes their number of 46.
Despite Sultana gloating about Your Party’s unpaid sign-ups surpassing Reform UK’s fully-paid membership base, Farage suggested Corbyn’s new hard-left party could assist his march to No10.
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Jeremy Corbyn officially launched Your Party last week
Speaking shortly after Corbyn first confirmed his ambitions to co-lead Your Party, Farage said: “You would think naturally that he would split the Labour vote, which would make life easier for us.”
However, the Reform UK leader also warned Corbyn about the challenge in creating a start-up, challenger party.
Farage asked: “Is he capable of actually organising a party that mobilises across the country, that dots the i’s and crosses the t’s.
“Politics isn’t just about beliefs and ideas, it’s about building political parties and structures. That’s going to be his biggest challenge.”
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However, Corbyn dismissed any comparison between Reform UK and Your Party, instead insisting: “Reform are a road to danger, not a road to any improvement in people’s lives.”
An ally of the former Leader of the Opposition admitted that Reform and Your Party were both looking to tap into working-class values.
“What essentially has supported Reform’s rise is the alienation, which does definitely exist, from the working-class people of this country to the political establishment,” they said.
“And, to be very clear, I don’t view Reform as a working-class party, but this is obviously, that’s their pitch.
“Whereas, Labour has historically been the party of the working-class and there’s been, undoubtedly, in recent years, basically since Starmer has been leader, a move away from those working-class values.”