Reform UK could cost the Tories up to 53 seats a new survey has claimed.
A study conducted by Electoral Calculus for the Daily Mail involving 18,000 people in multiple polls forecast that the Conservatives are on course for their worst election defeat in history.
If the party were to stand down candidates in some constituencies, the Tories could win 133 seats, as per the survey.
However, if Reform contested those seats as intended, then the Conservatives are expected to win just 80 seats, according to the survey.
Reform UK could leave the Tories with just 80 MPs
PA
Meanwhile, Labour is on course to win 470 seats if Reform contests every constituency.
If Reform were to reach some sort of deal with the Tories, that would reduce Labour’s share of the House of Commons to 430 MPs.
The survey also highlights that the Tories are under threat by the Liberal Democrats in a number of ‘Blue-wall’ seats.
The analysis suggests that the Lib Dems could increase their share of seats from 15 to 48.
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