A bombshell new poll has revealed how “Stop Reform” plotters might block Nigel Farage’s march to No10.
Polling firm YouGov showed Reform UK retains its pole position, albeit with its lowest share of the vote since April last year.
Reform UK’s 24 per cent puts Mr Farage just four points clear of Kemi Badenoch’s Tories.
Meanwhile, Labour secured just 19 per cent, leaving the Liberal Democrats and Green Party on 16 and 14 per cent respectively.
The poll is part of a broader theme in YouGov’s polling, with Reform UK’s support dipping from a peak around October.
In contrast, Tory support continues to gradually grow following a series of strong performances by Mrs Badenoch in the House of Commons.
Adam Drummond, Head of Quantitative Research at Public First, said: “In the average of all polls, Reform has dipped since their peak in October.
“Some of this is probably due to Tory voters who previously said ‘don’t know’ now being more comfortable supporting their party, but some of it also is likely the rise of the Greens as a viable and visible option for ‘anti-system’ voters since Zack Polanski’s election.”
Reform UK has shrunk to the lowest in the polls since April, new research suggests
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YOUGOV
However, it is the head-to-head polling that could prove problematic for Reform UK.
Despite establishing a loyal base of supporters, polling suggests more voters oppose Mr Farage entering No10.
The Reform UK leader missed out on YouGov’s head-to-head poll with the Prime Minister by seven per cent.
He trailed Mrs Badenoch by 10 per cent, while Sir Ed Davey opened up a six-point lead and Zack Polanski was narrowly ahead by one per cent.
Kemi Badenoch enjoyed a surge in popularity in the back end of 2026, coinciding with the Tories showing signs of turning their slump in the polls around
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GETTYIn response to the recent polls, a Reform spokesman said: “YouGov were one of the worst pollsters during the 2024 general election, and they are continuing that trend.
“Every other polling company has Reform above 30 per cent in 2026 – YouGov now appears to be engaging in push polling instead of trying to inform real voting intentions.”
Mr Drummond added: “We’re in an unprecedented situation of flux in the party system at the moment, and in the same week we have one pollster showing Reform 14 points ahead and another showing them 5 points ahead.
“The main thing about this is that it’s YouGov, who have consistently shown smaller Reform figures than other pollsters.”
Nigel Farage, who announced Nadhim Zahawi’s defection on Monday, said there is a ‘strong chance’ that the Conservative Party will ‘cease to be a national party’
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PA
Ex-Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi, who co-founded YouGov in 2000, defected from the Tories to Reform yesterday, suggesting momentum may still lie behind Mr Farage’s party.
“There’s a strong chance that the Conservative Party, after its couple of hundred years, will cease to be a national party, hence the conversations going on,” the Reform UK leader said.
However, the Tories dismissed this as the case. After the thrilling hour-long unveiling press conference, a Conservative Party spokesman said: “Reform is fast becoming the party of has-been politicians looking for their next gravy train.
“Their latest recruit used to say he’d be ‘frightened to live in a country’ run by Nigel Farage, which shows the level of loyalty for sale.
“Reform want higher welfare spending and higher taxes. They are a one-man band with no plan for our country.